Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.185755 0.201419 0.218015 0.236948 0.257996 0.280729 0.307212
2026-01-11 0.158815 0.181103 0.206270 0.236968 0.273639 0.316333 0.370233
2026-01-18 0.138950 0.164066 0.193719 0.231668 0.279455 0.338328 0.417436
2026-01-25 0.123689 0.149960 0.182055 0.224691 0.280677 0.352880 0.455046
2026-02-01 0.112849 0.139869 0.173837 0.220423 0.283850 0.369007 0.495217
2026-02-08 0.103544 0.130737 0.165761 0.215121 0.284466 0.380923 0.529934
2026-02-15 0.096264 0.123568 0.159508 0.211424 0.286486 0.394377 0.567699
2026-02-22 0.092231 0.120355 0.158185 0.214211 0.297627 0.421672 0.629306
2026-03-01 0.087371 0.115621 0.154335 0.212917 0.302404 0.439531 0.677693
2026-03-08 0.082544 0.110596 0.149676 0.209962 0.304208 0.452642 0.719400
2026-03-15 0.077697 0.105237 0.144164 0.205246 0.302730 0.460106 0.751896
2026-03-22 0.075949 0.104203 0.144837 0.209918 0.316419 0.493636 0.835195
2026-03-29 0.073557 0.102180 0.144038 0.212431 0.327141 0.523850 0.918095
2026-04-05 0.070731 0.099369 0.141894 0.212663 0.334105 0.548324 0.993971
2026-04-12 0.066981 0.094960 0.137019 0.208070 0.332298 0.556619 1.038097
2026-04-19 0.063187 0.090293 0.131481 0.201976 0.327292 0.558342 1.068430
2026-04-26 0.060212 0.086744 0.127512 0.198243 0.326172 0.567270 1.115753
2026-05-03 0.057258 0.083092 0.123184 0.193601 0.322975 0.571737 1.153570
2026-05-10 0.054803 0.080115 0.119795 0.190362 0.322106 0.580710 1.203276
2026-05-17 0.053654 0.079161 0.119652 0.192804 0.332181 0.613103 1.315219
2026-05-24 0.051883 0.077119 0.117597 0.191670 0.335190 0.630898 1.393674
2026-05-31 0.049947 0.074730 0.114840 0.189081 0.335085 0.641903 1.456316
2026-06-07 0.047846 0.071986 0.111358 0.184945 0.331534 0.644887 1.497753